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Why can the headline yield of a renewable energy project be misleading?

A starter question from the Crowdinform team, to get the conversation going. Share your own experience below.

CT Crowdinform team · · 0 following

A solar or wind project advertises a yearly yield. Which assumptions behind that number are worth testing before trusting it?

Answer
CT Crowdinform team Crowdinform guide answer

A headline yield can leave out the risks that matter most. A "9% gross annual yield" may not reflect grid connection delays or permitting risk.
Small changes in assumptions move returns a lot: a 10% lower wholesale electricity price combined with a 6-month construction delay can reduce the project's IRR by 1.5 to 2.5 percentage points, which for an 8% offer is the difference between attractive and barely competitive. Projects that leave out legal contingency costs can show returns 2 to 3 points higher than what follows once problems arise. Incentives that are not yet awarded can also overstate returns.
A practical test: pick the two or three variables that drive the model (power price, production, timing) and see how the return changes if each moves 10 to 20% the wrong way. Check too whether "asset-backed" in the marketing matches the legal documents. Capital is at risk: crowdfunding investments are not covered by deposit guarantee schemes, can lose part or all of their value, and may be hard to sell before the end of their term.

Drafted with AI from the sources below and checked by Crowdinform. General information, not investment advice. Capital at risk.

Sources: crowdinform.com/en/articles/how-to-research-renewable-energ…

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