- Risk level
- High
- Risk-return
- Medium
- Start from
- €50
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Romania
Capital at risk. The rate is agreed, not guaranteed: if a borrower defaults you can lose some or all of your money.
Our AI gives this project 53 out of 100: Medium. How the AI score works
Information, not personal investment advice. The AI score rates the documents the platform publishes, can be wrong, and does not predict returns.
Credius IFN S.A. is a Romanian company that lends money to people and is paid back in instalments. Investors on Mintos lend money to it. This memo asks one question: what is the chance it fails to pay those lenders back in the next 12 months, and why.
We ask six questions about every lender: does it earn enough, are its loans being repaid, does it have enough of its own money to absorb losses, how risky is its country, can we trust its numbers, and are there warning signs. Each is scored 1 to 5 and weighted. The four cards below show how they land — but they are not meant to be added up. The weighted result is the about 5.2% at the top of this page.
A thick cushion of the owners’ own money, and profits in two of the last three years — but they swing hard, and three-quarters of 2025’s profit before tax rests on one gain the company never explains.
Bad loans took 45 lei of every 100 of income in 2024. The worst loans leave the books early, sold to a sister company, so the late-loan share looks better than it is.
The leu, not the euro. The largest budget deficit in the European Union, no full government since May 2026 with a third nominee for prime minister rejected on 30 September 2026, and a legal cap on what lenders may charge. A fourth nominee had not been named when we last checked, on 5 October 2026.
Money sitting with companies connected to it is somewhere between 31% and 60% of the owners’ money depending on what you count, and for 2025 we cannot test it at all. The 2025 figures are unaudited and do not agree with each other.
Every investment carries risk, and risk is not really a letter or a mark out of ten. It is two plain questions: how likely is it that this company fails, and how much of your money would you lose if it did. Put those together and you can see whether the reward is worth it.
For Credius: about a 5.2% chance of failing in the next 12 months. If we assume about 30% of the money comes back in that case, the risk costs roughly 3.7% a year — so the 7.52% rate on offer is worth about 3.9% once the risk is paid for. That is the thinnest margin of any C-grade lender we have scored.
An advertised 7.52% is what you are promised if everything goes well. What you keep is that rate minus what failures cost you. So the rate on its own tells you very little.
Risk cost = the chance of failing × the share you do not get back. We assume 30% comes back and 70% is lost. That 30% is an assumption we apply to every lender so they can be compared with each other — it is not a measured figure, and the answer moves a lot if you choose differently.
Take two imaginary lenders. One pays 14% but has a 17% chance of failing within the year: the risk costs about 11.9% a year, leaving roughly 2%. The other pays 9% with a 2.5% chance: the risk costs about 1.8%, leaving about 7%. The bigger number on the screen can easily be the worse one.
| With our figures | |
|---|---|
| Chance of failing in a year | 5.2% |
| Loss if it fails (70%) | × 0.7 |
| Risk cost a year | 3.7% |
| Rate offered on Mintos | 7.52% |
| Left after the risk cost | about 3.9% |
Not a bank, and it takes no deposits. Registered with Romania’s central bank, which supervises it.
Loans of 2,000 to 100,000 lei over one to five years. A broker site in September 2026 showed an example yearly cost of 58.6% a year — high. Section 3 sets out the legal ceilings, which move with the central bank’s rate.
Its own loan book at the end of 2025, after costs of bad loans — about €17.6m at 5.1 lei to the euro. It grew 39% in 2025, after falling 5% in 2024.
A Cyprus company holds 99.99%. Above it is NCH Balkan Fund L.P., which carries no credit rating. Nobody in the group publishes combined accounts.
Listed there as “Credius”. Two sister companies — Finopro and Business Microcredit — are listed separately, and their figures are not in this memo. Mintos’s own risk score for Credius IFN was 7.0 out of 10 when we read it on 9 November 2026 (Mintos last updated it on 9 October 2026), built from 7.9 for how the loans perform, 7.9 for servicing, 5.6 for buyback strength and 5.2 for the structure of the arrangement.
The average rate on Mintos on 9 November 2026, when about €17.6m was outstanding there. Platform figures read on 9 November 2026.
A credit line from the Mintos financing company at the end of 2024, running to 30 April 2028. It was RON 25.4m a year earlier.
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