ViziaFinance

<style>
/* All styles are scoped to .ci-memo so the block can be pasted into any page without clashing with the site’s CSS. */
.ci-memo{container-type:inline-size;
  --ink:var(--ci-ink,#17201B); --ink-2:var(--ci-muted,#5C625D); --ink-3:#6B716C; --line:var(--ci-line,#E3DDD0); --soft:var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8); --paper:var(--ci-surface,#FFFDF8); --brand:var(--ci-forest,#1E4D3A); --brand-2:var(--ci-forest,#1E4D3A);
  --ok:var(--ci-level-1-text,#2E6B45); --ok-bg:var(--ci-level-1-tint,#E2F0E6); --wt:var(--ci-star,#C48A1E); --wt-bg:var(--ci-level-3-tint,#F8ECCF); --bd:var(--ci-level-5-text,#9A3524); --bd-bg:var(--ci-level-5-tint,#F7DFD9);
  --gA:var(--ci-level-1-text,#2E6B45); --gB:#5E8F34; --gC:var(--ci-star,#C48A1E); --gD:#C8682F; --gE:var(--ci-level-5-text,#9A3524);
  font-family: system-ui,-apple-system,"Segoe UI",Roboto,"Helvetica Neue",Arial,sans-serif;
  color:var(--ink); background:var(--paper); line-height:1.55; font-size:16px;
  max-width:1040px; margin:0 auto; padding:24px 20px 48px; box-sizing:border-box;
  -webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;
}
.ci-memo *,.ci-memo *::before,.ci-memo *::after{box-sizing:inherit}
.ci-memo h1,.ci-memo h2,.ci-memo h3{line-height:1.2;margin:0;color:var(--ink);font-weight:700;letter-spacing:-.01em}
.ci-memo h1{font-size:clamp(1.6rem,4.2vw,2.35rem)}
.ci-memo h2{font-size:clamp(1.25rem,3vw,1.55rem)}
.ci-memo h3{font-size:1.05rem}
.ci-memo p{margin:.6em 0}
.ci-memo a{color:var(--brand-2);text-underline-offset:2px}
.ci-memo .kicker{font-size:.75rem;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--brand);font-weight:700}
.ci-memo .muted{color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .small{font-size:.86rem;color:var(--ink-3)}
.ci-memo .tabnum{font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}

/* header */
.ci-memo .hero{border-bottom:3px solid var(--brand);padding-bottom:18px;margin-bottom:18px}
.ci-memo .hero h1{margin:.3em 0 .35em}
.ci-memo .meta{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:6px 14px;font-size:.85rem;color:var(--ink-3)}
.ci-memo .chip{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:999px;padding:3px 10px;font-size:.8rem;background:var(--soft);color:var(--ink-2);max-width:100%}

/* disclaimer */
.ci-memo .nfa{border:2px solid var(--bd);background:var(--bd-bg);border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;margin:16px 0;font-size:.9rem}
.ci-memo .nfa strong{color:var(--bd);letter-spacing:.04em}

/* answer card */
.ci-memo .answer{display:grid;grid-template-columns:minmax(0,1.05fr) minmax(0,1.6fr);gap:18px;background:var(--soft);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:18px;padding:20px;margin:20px 0}
.ci-memo .score{background:var(--paper);border-radius:14px;padding:18px;border:1px solid var(--line);display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}
.ci-memo .score .big{display:flex;align-items:baseline;gap:8px}
.ci-memo .score .big b{font-size:3.4rem;line-height:1;color:var(--ink)}
.ci-memo .score .big span{color:var(--ink-3)}
.ci-memo .grade{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-weight:700;border-radius:8px;padding:4px 10px;background:var(--ci-level-3-tint,#F8ECCF);color:var(--ci-level-3-text,#7A5410);width:max-content}
.ci-memo .grade i{width:22px;height:22px;border-radius:6px;background:var(--gC);color:#fff;font-style:normal;display:grid;place-items:center;font-size:.85rem}
.ci-memo .scale{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(5,1fr);gap:3px;margin-top:6px}
.ci-memo .scale div{height:10px;border-radius:3px}
.ci-memo .scale-l{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(5,1fr);font-size:.72rem;color:var(--ink-3);text-align:center;margin-top:2px}
.ci-memo .scale .on{outline:3px solid var(--ink);outline-offset:1px}
.ci-memo .odds{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:10px}
.ci-memo .odd{border-radius:12px;padding:12px;background:var(--soft)}
.ci-memo .odd b{display:block;font-size:1.55rem;line-height:1.1}
.ci-memo .odd span{font-size:.8rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .odd.main{background:var(--ci-moss,#DCE8DF);border:1px solid #C3D9CA}
.ci-memo .limit{font-size:.85rem;color:var(--ink-2);border-top:1px dashed var(--line);padding-top:10px}
.ci-memo .answer h2{font-size:clamp(1.15rem,2.6vw,1.45rem);margin-bottom:10px}
.ci-memo .subs{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr));gap:10px;margin-top:12px}
.ci-memo .sub{background:var(--paper);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:12px}
.ci-memo .sub .top{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-size:.82rem;color:var(--ink-2);font-weight:600}
.ci-memo .sub .top em{font-style:normal;font-weight:700;border-radius:6px;padding:1px 7px;color:#fff;font-size:.75rem}
.ci-memo .sub b{display:block;font-size:1.25rem;margin:4px 0 2px}
.ci-memo .sub p{margin:0;font-size:.84rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .flags{display:grid;gap:10px;margin-top:4px}
.ci-memo .flag{border-radius:12px;padding:12px 14px;font-size:.92rem;border-left:5px solid}
.ci-memo .flag.ok{background:var(--ok-bg);border-color:var(--ok)}
.ci-memo .flag.wt{background:var(--wt-bg);border-color:var(--wt)}
.ci-memo .flag.bd{background:var(--bd-bg);border-color:var(--bd)}
.ci-memo .flag strong{display:block;margin-bottom:2px}

/* status pill */
.ci-memo .st{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;font-size:.78rem;font-weight:700;border-radius:999px;padding:2px 10px;white-space:nowrap}
.ci-memo .st::before{content:"";width:8px;height:8px;border-radius:50%}
.ci-memo .st.ok{background:var(--ok-bg);color:var(--ci-level-1-text,#2E6B45)}.ci-memo .st.ok::before{background:var(--ok)}
.ci-memo .st.wt{background:var(--wt-bg);color:var(--ci-level-3-text,#7A5410)}.ci-memo .st.wt::before{background:var(--wt)}
.ci-memo .st.bd{background:var(--bd-bg);color:var(--ci-level-5-text,#9A3524)}.ci-memo .st.bd::before{background:var(--bd)}

/* glance */
.ci-memo .glance{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(auto-fit,minmax(170px,1fr));gap:10px;margin:12px 0 6px}
.ci-memo .tile{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:12px;background:var(--paper)}
.ci-memo .tile .k{font-size:.76rem;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:var(--ink-3);font-weight:700}
.ci-memo .tile>b{display:block;font-size:1.15rem;margin:3px 0}
.ci-memo .tile p{margin:0;font-size:.84rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .band{font-size:.78rem;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.1em;color:var(--brand);margin:18px 0 4px}

/* sections */
.ci-memo section{margin-top:34px}
.ci-memo .sec-head{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;gap:10px;border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding-top:22px}
.ci-memo .sec-head .odds-chip{font-size:.85rem;font-weight:700;border-radius:10px;padding:6px 12px;color:#fff}
.ci-memo .lead{font-size:1.08rem;font-weight:600;margin:10px 0 4px}
.ci-memo .grid2{display:grid;grid-template-columns:minmax(0,1fr) minmax(0,1fr);gap:18px;align-items:start}
.ci-memo .card{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:14px;padding:16px;background:var(--paper)}
.ci-memo .card h3{margin-bottom:8px}
.ci-memo .events{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(auto-fit,minmax(220px,1fr));gap:10px;margin:14px 0}
.ci-memo .ev{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:12px;background:var(--soft);display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:6px}
.ci-memo .ev .when{font-size:.75rem;font-weight:700;color:var(--ink-3);text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em}
.ci-memo .ev b{font-size:.98rem}
.ci-memo .ev p{margin:0;font-size:.86rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .ev .st{margin-top:auto}

/* charts */
.ci-memo figure{margin:14px 0;background:var(--paper);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:14px;padding:14px 14px 10px}
.ci-memo figcaption{font-weight:700;margin-bottom:8px;font-size:.98rem}
.ci-memo figcaption span{display:block;font-weight:400;font-size:.82rem;color:var(--ink-3)}
.ci-memo svg.viz{width:100%;height:auto;display:block;overflow:visible;font-family:inherit}
.ci-memo svg .lbl{font-size:13px;fill:var(--ink);font-weight:600}
.ci-memo svg .in{font-size:12px;fill:#fff;font-weight:700}
.ci-memo svg .in.dark{fill:var(--ink)}
.ci-memo svg .val{font-size:12px;fill:var(--ink);font-weight:600}
.ci-memo svg .neg{font-size:12px;fill:var(--bd);font-weight:700}
.ci-memo svg .axis{font-size:11px;fill:var(--ink-3)}
.ci-memo svg .side{font-size:12px;fill:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo svg .grid{stroke:var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8);stroke-width:1}
.ci-memo svg .zero{stroke:var(--ci-disabled-text,#8A8F8B);stroke-width:1}
.ci-memo svg .ref{stroke:var(--ink);stroke-width:1.5;stroke-dasharray:4 3}
.ci-memo svg .s1{fill:var(--brand-2)}
.ci-memo svg .s2{fill:var(--ci-mint,#9FD3B4)}
.ci-memo .legend{list-style:none;padding:0;margin:8px 0 2px;display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:6px 16px;font-size:.82rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .legend i{display:inline-block;width:11px;height:11px;border-radius:3px;margin-right:6px;vertical-align:-1px}
.ci-memo details.tbl{margin-top:8px;font-size:.85rem}
.ci-memo details.tbl summary{cursor:pointer;color:var(--brand-2)}
.ci-memo table{border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;margin-top:8px;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.ci-memo th,.ci-memo td{border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);padding:6px 8px;text-align:right}
.ci-memo th:first-child,.ci-memo td:first-child{text-align:left}
.ci-memo .tscroll{overflow-x:auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch}


/* html charts */
.ci-memo .hb{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}
.ci-memo .hb-l{font-size:.82rem;font-weight:700;margin-bottom:4px}
.ci-memo .hb-track{position:relative;display:flex;height:30px;gap:2px}
.ci-memo .hb-track.tall{height:40px}
.ci-memo .sg{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;border-radius:4px;color:#fff;font-size:.78rem;font-weight:700;min-width:3px;cursor:pointer;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.ci-memo .sg em{font-style:normal;overflow:hidden;white-space:nowrap;text-overflow:clip}
.ci-memo .sg.dk{color:var(--ink)}
.ci-memo .hb-neg{position:absolute;right:0;top:-18px;font-size:.74rem;font-weight:700;color:var(--bd)}
.ci-memo .hb-neg.pos{color:var(--ok)}
.ci-memo .hb-ref{position:absolute;top:-4px;bottom:-4px;border-left:2px dashed var(--ink);pointer-events:none}
.ci-memo .hb-axis{position:relative;height:16px;font-size:.72rem;color:var(--ink-3)}
.ci-memo .hb-axis span{position:absolute;transform:translateX(-100%);padding-right:4px;white-space:nowrap}
.ci-memo .vb{padding:0 14px}
.ci-memo .vb-plot{position:relative;height:210px;display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,1fr);margin:18px 0 0;background:repeating-linear-gradient(to bottom,transparent 0,transparent 41px,var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8) 41px,var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8) 42px)}
.ci-memo .vb-zero{position:absolute;left:0;right:0;border-top:1.5px solid var(--ci-disabled-text,#8A8F8B)}
.ci-memo .vb-g{position:relative}
.ci-memo .vb-bar{position:absolute;width:30%;border-radius:4px;cursor:pointer}
.ci-memo .vb-bar.s1{left:18%;background:var(--ci-forest,#1E4D3A)}
.ci-memo .vb-bar.s2{left:52%;background:var(--ci-mint,#9FD3B4)}
.ci-memo .vb-bar em{position:absolute;left:50%;transform:translateX(-50%);font-style:normal;font-size:.76rem;font-weight:700;color:var(--ink);white-space:nowrap;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.ci-memo .vb-bar em.up{top:-18px}.ci-memo .vb-bar em.dn{bottom:-18px;color:var(--bd)}
.ci-memo .vb-x{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,1fr);text-align:center;font-size:.85rem;font-weight:700;margin-top:22px}
.ci-memo .bs{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:22px}
.ci-memo .bs-h{font-weight:700;margin-bottom:6px;display:flex;justify-content:space-between}
.ci-memo .bs-h span{color:var(--ink-3);font-weight:600}
.ci-memo .bs-list{list-style:none;padding:0;margin:10px 0 0;font-size:.86rem}
.ci-memo .bs-list li{display:grid;grid-template-columns:12px minmax(0,1fr) auto;gap:8px;align-items:baseline;padding:4px 0;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}
.ci-memo .bs-list i{width:11px;height:11px;border-radius:3px;align-self:center}
.ci-memo .bs-list b{font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.ci-memo .bs-list li.hl{background:var(--ci-level-4-tint,#F8E3D3);font-weight:700}
@container (max-width:640px){.ci-memo .bs{grid-template-columns:1fr}}

/* country meters */
.ci-memo .qrow{display:grid;grid-template-columns:minmax(0,1fr) 110px 18px;gap:10px;align-items:center;padding:7px 0;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);font-size:.9rem}
.ci-memo .qrow em{font-style:normal;color:var(--ink-3);font-size:.78rem}
.ci-memo .meter{height:10px;background:var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden}
.ci-memo .meter i{display:block;height:100%;border-radius:6px}
.ci-memo .meter i.bd{background:var(--gD)}.ci-memo .meter i.wt{background:var(--gC)}.ci-memo .meter i.ok{background:var(--gA)}

/* group diagram */
.ci-memo .flow{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr auto 1fr auto 1fr;gap:8px;align-items:center;margin:14px 0}
.ci-memo .flow.f4{grid-template-columns:1.1fr auto 1fr auto 1.2fr auto 1.1fr;gap:6px}
.ci-memo .flow.f4 .arrow{max-width:135px;font-size:.72rem}
.ci-memo .flow.f4 .node{font-size:.8rem}
.ci-memo .flow.f4 .node b{font-size:.88rem}
.ci-memo .node{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:10px;text-align:center;background:var(--soft);font-size:.86rem}
.ci-memo .node b{display:block;font-size:.95rem}
.ci-memo .arrow{font-size:.78rem;color:var(--ink-2);text-align:center;line-height:1.2}
.ci-memo .arrow::before{content:"⟶";display:block;font-size:1.4rem;color:var(--brand-2)}
.ci-memo .arrow.back::before{content:"⟵"}
.ci-memo .arrow.red::before{color:var(--bd)}

/* risks */
.ci-memo .risks{display:grid;gap:10px;margin-top:12px}
.ci-memo .risk{display:grid;grid-template-columns:170px minmax(0,1fr);gap:12px;border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:12px 14px}
.ci-memo .risk h3{font-size:.95rem;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:6px;align-items:flex-start}
.ci-memo .risk p{margin:0;font-size:.9rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .bwc{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,minmax(0,1fr));gap:12px;margin-top:14px}
.ci-memo .bwc .card h3{display:flex;gap:8px;align-items:center}
.ci-memo .bwc p{font-size:.9rem;color:var(--ink-2);margin:0}

.ci-memo details.more{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:12px;padding:10px 14px;margin-top:10px;background:var(--paper)}
.ci-memo details.more summary{cursor:pointer;font-weight:700}
.ci-memo details.more p,.ci-memo details.more li{font-size:.88rem;color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .foot{margin-top:28px;font-size:.8rem;color:var(--ink-3);text-align:center}



/* tooltips: pure CSS, anchored INSIDE the chart box so they can never spill outside the memo */
.ci-memo{overflow-x:clip}
.ci-memo figure{position:relative}
.ci-memo .sg,.ci-memo .bs-list li{position:static}
.ci-memo [data-tip]::after{
  content:attr(data-tip);position:absolute;left:0;right:0;bottom:calc(100% + 7px);
  background:var(--ci-ink,#17201B);color:#fff;font-size:.82rem;font-weight:600;line-height:1.35;text-align:left;
  padding:8px 11px;border-radius:8px;z-index:5;font-variant-numeric:normal;
  opacity:0;visibility:hidden;transition:opacity .12s;pointer-events:none}
.ci-memo [data-tip]:hover::after,.ci-memo [data-tip]:focus::after,.ci-memo [data-tip]:active::after{opacity:1;visibility:visible}
.ci-memo [data-tip]:hover,.ci-memo [data-tip]:focus{outline:2px solid var(--ink);outline-offset:1px}
.ci-memo .tip-note{font-size:.8rem;color:var(--ink-3);margin:8px 0 0;min-height:2.9em}
.ci-memo .warn-lbl{display:inline-block;font-weight:600;font-size:.76rem;color:var(--ci-level-3-text,#7A5410);background:var(--wt-bg);border-radius:5px;padding:1px 7px;margin-left:6px}
.ci-memo .blk{font-size:.78rem;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.1em;color:var(--brand);margin:20px 0 2px}
.ci-memo .blkq{border-left:3px solid var(--line);padding-left:14px;margin:14px 0}

.ci-memo .bands{margin-top:10px}
.ci-memo .bandbar{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(5,1fr);gap:3px;margin-top:4px;font-size:.68rem;text-align:center}
.ci-memo .bandbar span{background:var(--soft);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:5px;padding:3px 2px;color:var(--ink-3);font-weight:600;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.ci-memo .bandbar span.on{background:var(--ink);border-color:var(--ink);color:#fff}
.ci-memo .why .wlead{font-size:1.02rem}
.ci-memo .why .wbox{background:rgba(255,255,255,.1);border:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.2);border-left:4px solid var(--ci-mint,#9FD3B4);border-radius:12px;padding:14px 16px;margin-top:12px;font-size:1.02rem}
.ci-memo .why .wbox p{color:var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8)}
.ci-memo details.wmore{margin-top:14px}
.ci-memo details.wmore > summary{cursor:pointer;display:inline-block;background:rgba(255,255,255,.12);border:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.25);color:#fff;font-weight:700;font-size:.9rem;border-radius:999px;padding:8px 18px;list-style:none}
.ci-memo details.wmore > summary::-webkit-details-marker{display:none}
.ci-memo details.wmore > summary::after{content:" \203A";font-size:1.1rem}
.ci-memo details.wmore[open] > summary::after{content:" \2039"}
.ci-memo details.wmore > summary:hover{background:rgba(255,255,255,.2)}
/* why-it-matters block */
.ci-memo .why{background:var(--ci-deep-forest,#123326);color:var(--ci-paper,#F5F1E8);border-radius:18px;padding:22px;margin:26px 0}
.ci-memo .why h2{color:#fff;font-size:clamp(1.2rem,2.8vw,1.5rem)}
.ci-memo .why p{color:var(--ci-line,#E3DDD0)}
.ci-memo .why b,.ci-memo .why strong{color:#fff}
.ci-memo .why .wgrid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(auto-fit,minmax(230px,1fr));gap:12px;margin-top:14px}
.ci-memo .why .wcard{background:rgba(255,255,255,.07);border:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.14);border-radius:12px;padding:14px}
.ci-memo .why .wcard h3{color:#fff;font-size:.98rem;margin-bottom:6px}
.ci-memo .why .wcard p{margin:0;font-size:.88rem}
.ci-memo .why .sum{background:#fff;color:var(--ink);border-radius:12px;padding:14px 16px;margin-top:14px;font-size:.92rem}
.ci-memo .why .sum b,.ci-memo .why .sum strong{color:var(--ink)}
.ci-memo .why .sum p{color:var(--ink-2)}
.ci-memo .why .sum th{color:var(--ink-2);font-size:.8rem;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.04em}
.ci-memo .why .sum table{margin-top:6px}
.ci-memo .why .sum th,.ci-memo .why .sum td{border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);font-size:.88rem}
.ci-memo .why .fine{font-size:.82rem;color:var(--ci-field-border,#C9C2B3);margin-top:12px}
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<div class="ci-memo" data-ai-score="61" id="vizia-memo"><header class="hero">
<div class="kicker">Lender memo · Latvia</div>
<h1>ViziaFinance: how likely is it to fail to pay back the investors who lend to it?</h1>
<p class="muted">SIA ViziaFinance is a Latvian company that lends money to people. Its borrowers pay it back in monthly instalments. It trades under the name VIZIA. Separately, investors on Mintos lend money to ViziaFinance. This memo asks one question: what is the chance that ViziaFinance fails to pay those investors back in the next 12 months, and why.</p>
<p class="muted">We have used ViziaFinance’s own accounts as filed for 2023, 2024 and 2025, its 2022 accounts as audited by KPMG, and its parent’s audited group accounts. The audit opinions on 2023, 2024 and 2025 are behind a paywall and we have not read them.</p>
<div class="meta">
<span class="chip">Written 30 September 2026</span>
<span class="chip">Sources: its own 2023–2025 accounts</span>
<span class="chip">2023–2025 audit opinions not read</span>
</div>
</header>
<div class="nfa" role="note"><strong>THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.</strong> This memo was prepared with the help of AI from publicly available documents. It is general information for education only — not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold anything, and it does not take account of your circumstances. Figures may contain errors; check them against the original documents. Investing through P2P platforms can result in the loss of all money invested.</div>
<!-- ANSWER -->
<div aria-labelledby="ans-h" class="answer">
<div class="score"><div class="sf-left">
<div class="kicker">Our score</div>
<div class="big tabnum"><b>61</b><span>/ 100</span></div>
<span class="grade"><i>C</i> Keep watching</span>
<div>
<div aria-hidden="true" class="scale"><div data-sf="is1"></div><div data-sf="is2"></div><div class="on" data-sf="is3"></div><div data-sf="is4"></div><div data-sf="is5"></div></div>
<div class="scale-l"><span>A</span><span>B</span><span>C</span><span>D</span><span>E</span></div>
</div>
</div><div class="sf-right"><div class="odds">
<div class="odd main"><b class="tabnum">about 3.6%</b><span>chance it fails to pay in the next 12 months</span></div>
<div class="odd"><b class="tabnum">1 in 28</b><span>the same risk, counted differently</span></div>
</div>
<div aria-label="Where about 3.6% sits on our scale of failure chances" class="bands">
<div class="kicker" data-sf="is6">Where that sits on our scale</div>
<div class="bandbar"><span>0–2%</span><span class="on">2–5%</span><span>5–10%</span><span>10–20%</span><span>20%+</span></div>
</div>
<div class="limit"><b>Our method caps this lender at 6% of a portfolio.</b> Two separate limits apply and the tighter one wins. The company scores C, and our company scale allows a C up to 6%. Latvia is a grade-B country on our separate country scale, which allows 25% for all Latvian lenders added together, so the country limit is not the one that applies here. That 6% is also not an extra 6% on top of its parent’s: ViziaFinance is wholly owned by DelfinGroup, and our method counts it inside its parent’s limit rather than alongside it. These caps are a convention of our scale, applied to every lender we cover. They are not advice about your money.</div>
</div></div>
<div>
<h2 id="ans-h">Very profitable. Two things we cannot see, and one fine.</h2>
<p>ViziaFinance has kept every euro it has earned for three years. But its own accounts add interest together with the cost of bad loans in a single line, so the one number that would show how well it lends is missing. And the regulator has fined it for checking only one of Latvia’s two credit databases before lending.</p>
<p class="muted" data-sf="is7">We ask six questions about every lender: does it earn enough, are its loans being repaid, does it have enough of its own money to absorb losses, how risky is its country, can we trust its numbers, and are there warning signs. Each is scored 1 to 5 and weighted. The four cards below show the results — but they are not meant to be added up. The weighted result is the <b>about 3.6%</b> at the top of this page.</p>
<div class="subs">
<div class="sub"><div class="top">💶 Earnings and safety cushion <em data-sf="is2">B</em></div><b class="tabnum">about 1.8%</b><p>It keeps about €28 of every €100 of income, and it has kept all of that profit inside the company: the owners’ money has grown to three times its size in three years, with nothing of any size paid out. We traced that back to an audited 2022 starting figure and the figures match.</p></div>
<div class="sub"><div class="top">📉 Loan book <em data-sf="is4">D</em></div><b class="tabnum">about 12%</b><p>Nothing about VIZIA’s own loans appears in its filed accounts or in its parent’s reports. Across the whole group, loans more than 90 days late rose from 3.09% to 4.35% during 2025. The regulator also found that since 2019 ViziaFinance had been checking only one of Latvia’s two credit databases, so it could not see everything its borrowers already owed elsewhere.</p></div>
<div class="sub"><div class="top">🇱🇻 Country: Latvia <em data-sf="is1">A</em></div><b class="tabnum">about 1%</b><p>The euro, so no currency risk for an investor whose own money is in euros. Courts that work. A cost cap unchanged since 2019. The government fell in May 2026, an election was due on 3 October 2026, and from January 2027 a new supervisor takes over. None of that changes the rules a lender must follow today.</p></div>
<div class="sub"><div class="top">⚖️ Group and other risks <em data-sf="is5">E</em></div><b class="tabnum">about 19%</b><p>One employee: its parent does all the lending, runs the loans day to day and chases late payments. ViziaFinance has promised to pay its parent’s bank debts if the parent does not, and the parent has given no such promise in return. And the audit opinions on all three years we report on are unread.</p></div>
</div>
<div class="flag amber"><b>One line in its filing hides the number this memo most needs.</b> ViziaFinance uses the short form of annual accounts that Latvian law allows. In it, the interest ViziaFinance pays its own lenders and the money it loses on bad loans are added together into a single line — €9.42m in 2025, 56% of its income. We know what that line contains, because in three years of its parent’s audited accounts the same line adds up to exactly interest plus bad debts, to the last euro. What we cannot do is split it. So we can tell you how much is left over at the end, but not how much is being lost to borrowers who never pay — which for a consumer lender is the question that matters most.</div>
<div class="flag amber"><b>The audit opinions on all three years we score are unread.</b> An auditor’s report was filed for ViziaFinance every year from 2020 to 2025. We read the 2022 one in full, and the auditor signed those accounts off with no reservations. But the 2023, 2024 and 2025 filings sit behind a paywall and we have not bought them — and those are the three years the figures we score come from. If any of the three opinions turns out to contain reservations — that is, if the auditor did not sign the accounts off cleanly — that counts as a <b>finding</b>: an item that, on our method, pushes the answer to at least 25% whatever else is true. We cannot rule it out, and we score what we have read.</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- WHY IT MATTERS -->
<div class="why">
<h2>Why this number matters</h2>
<p class="wlead">Every investment carries risk, and risk is not really a letter or a mark out of ten. It is two plain questions: <b>how likely is it that this company fails</b>, and <b>how much of your money would you lose if it did</b>. Put those together and you can see whether the reward is worth it.</p>
<div class="wbox">
<p data-sf="is8"><b>For ViziaFinance:</b> about a <b>3.6% chance</b> of failing in the next 12 months. If we assume about 30% of the money comes back in that case, the risk costs roughly <b>2.5% a year</b> — so the 8.7% rate on offer is worth about <b>6.2% once the risk is paid for</b>.</p>
</div>
<details class="wmore">
<summary>Show how this works</summary>
<div class="wgrid">
<div class="wcard"><h3>1. The rate is a promise, not a result</h3><p>An advertised 8.7% is what you are promised if everything goes well. What you keep is that rate minus what failures cost you. So the rate on its own tells you very little.</p></div>
<div class="wcard"><h3>2. Put a price on the risk</h3><p><b>Risk cost = the chance of failing × the share you do not get back.</b> We assume 30% comes back and 70% is lost. That 30% is an assumption we apply to every lender so they can be compared with each other — it is not a measured figure, and the answer moves a lot if you choose differently.</p></div>
<div class="wcard"><h3>3. Compare like for like</h3><p>Take two imaginary lenders. One pays 14% but has a 17% chance of failing within the year: the risk costs about 11.9% a year, leaving roughly 2%. The other pays 9% with a 2.5% chance: the risk costs about 1.8%, leaving about 7%. The bigger number on the screen can easily be the worse one.</p></div>
</div>
<div class="sum">
<b>ViziaFinance, worked through</b>
<div class="tscroll"><table>
<thead><tr><th> </th><th>With our figures</th></tr></thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>Chance of failing in a year</td><td>3.6%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Loss if it fails (70%)</td><td>× 0.7</td></tr>
<tr><td><b>Risk cost a year</b></td><td><b>2.5%</b></td></tr>
<tr><td>Rate offered on Mintos</td><td>8.7%</td></tr>
<tr><td><b>Left after the risk cost</b></td><td><b>about 6.2%</b></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div>
</div>
</details>
</div>
<!-- GLANCE -->
<div class="band">The company at a glance</div>
<div class="glance">
<div class="tile"><div class="k">What it is</div><b>A Latvian instalment lender</b><p>Not a bank, and it takes no deposits. Licensed by Latvia’s Consumer Rights Protection Centre — the regulator — since November 2016. From 1 January 2027 the Bank of Latvia supervises it instead.</p></div>
<div class="tile"><div class="k">Who it lends to</div><b>People, in instalments</b><p>Loans of €50 to €10,000. Its own worked example is €1,000 at 45.6% a year, repaid in 36 monthly payments totalling €1,735.05. The company also quotes 56.4% a year: that is the same rate, worked out as if the interest each month is added to the amount owed and then itself earns interest. It is not an extra charge, and the company’s own website says there is no separate fee for setting up the loan. Section 3 explains why we could not make the total and the rate agree.</p></div>
<div class="tile"><div class="k">How big its loan book is</div><b>About €38.5m</b><p>At the end of 2025, up about half in the year from about €25.5m. Income was €16.7m and profit after tax — what is left once tax is paid — was €4.8m. The company has one employee.</p></div>
<div class="tile"><div class="k">Who owns it</div><b>AS DelfinGroup</b><p>Which owns 100% of it and does all the lending. DelfinGroup is itself about 72% owned by INDEXO — a Latvian pension manager that also owns a bank — as at 30 June 2026, up from about 67% in December 2025.</p></div>
</div>
<div class="band">Where an investor can lend to it</div>
<div class="glance">
<div class="tile"><div class="k">Platform</div><b>Mintos</b><p>Listed there as “DelfinGroup (VIZIA) (LV)”. We cover the parent, DelfinGroup, in a separate memo. All the figures in this memo are ViziaFinance’s own, unless we say otherwise.</p></div>
<div class="tile"><div class="k">Rate on offer</div><b>8.7%</b><p>This is the average rate the group paid on its Mintos funding. About €10.4m was outstanding on 4 November 2026. That is the platform figure for ViziaFinance alone; Mintos lists the group’s two originators separately, and the other, Banknote, had €18.9m outstanding on the same date, so €29.2m for the group together. The €10.4m is measured on a later date than the €12.8m of “Mintos investors and other lenders” in the chart below, and measured a different way. Note that a second, unrelated €12.8m appears in this memo: the loan DelfinGroup has made to ViziaFinance. The two are different things that happen to be the same size. Platform data as published by Mintos; we have not verified it independently.</p></div>
<div class="tile"><div class="k">Mintos risk score</div><b>9.2 out of 10</b><p>Mintos’s own mark, not ours, in the Mintos register as read on 4 November 2026. The four parts behind it are 9.0 for how the loans perform, 10.0 for servicing, 9.7 for buyback strength and 7.0 for the structure of the arrangement — the structure is much the weakest of the four. Mintos lowered one part of the score twice during 2025 — in April and again in October, both times because the company had less of its own money behind its loans — then raised it again in January 2026, and made no change in the two rounds that followed. In its update of 9 October 2026 Mintos raised the servicing part from 9.5 to 10.0, and the score from 9.1 to 9.2.</p></div>
</div>
</div>